Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.028328 0.030444 0.032570 0.034864 0.037266 0.039703 0.042362
2026-01-04 0.024327 0.027639 0.031090 0.034940 0.039105 0.043462 0.048353
2026-01-11 0.021720 0.025707 0.029970 0.034842 0.040230 0.045982 0.052560
2026-01-18 0.020249 0.024786 0.029742 0.035514 0.042010 0.049052 0.057222
2026-01-25 0.018606 0.023509 0.028971 0.035445 0.042846 0.050980 0.060537
2026-02-01 0.017231 0.022422 0.028314 0.035408 0.043631 0.052781 0.063648
2026-02-08 0.016006 0.021423 0.027678 0.035321 0.044296 0.054393 0.066502
2026-02-15 0.014899 0.020492 0.027058 0.035193 0.044860 0.055849 0.069147
2026-02-22 0.013949 0.019694 0.026545 0.035144 0.045478 0.057335 0.071801
2026-03-01 0.012931 0.018752 0.025808 0.034780 0.045683 0.058308 0.073836
2026-03-08 0.011834 0.017654 0.024825 0.034070 0.045430 0.058709 0.075172
2026-03-15 0.010839 0.016634 0.023895 0.033379 0.045163 0.059060 0.076421
2026-03-22 0.010480 0.016469 0.024079 0.034128 0.046725 0.061688 0.080497
2026-03-29 0.009840 0.015907 0.023742 0.034220 0.047489 0.063382 0.083499
2026-04-05 0.009179 0.015275 0.023280 0.034122 0.047994 0.064744 0.086091
2026-04-12 0.008869 0.015110 0.023418 0.034785 0.049445 0.067261 0.090086
2026-04-19 0.008307 0.014558 0.023012 0.034717 0.049956 0.068612 0.092659
2026-04-26 0.007797 0.014053 0.022645 0.034680 0.050490 0.069981 0.095249
2026-05-03 0.007308 0.013549 0.022257 0.034595 0.050945 0.071242 0.097702
2026-05-10 0.006839 0.013049 0.021853 0.034468 0.051332 0.072408 0.100033
2026-05-17 0.006427 0.012614 0.021520 0.034420 0.051810 0.073680 0.102492
2026-05-24 0.005948 0.012046 0.020974 0.034061 0.051861 0.074400 0.104255
2026-05-31 0.005403 0.011341 0.020201 0.033361 0.051437 0.074495 0.105219